PollAdvisor.comAn eCorp Venture 1 Guest0

Facts · Guess the stat

How well do you know opinion polls?

Guess the real numbers behind opinion polls and surveys, see how everyone else guessed, and get the source.

Guess the statOne tap · see how everyone guessed

In the 2016 US presidential election, national polls correctly predicted the popular-vote winner but missed what?

Level1Rookie
XP
Play a round to earn XP
Streak0days
LeagueBronzeweekly
Man filling out ballot at polling station with a focus on civic duty and electoral participation.
Photo: Sora Shimazaki / Pexels
Daily #25Resets at midnight UTC

Today's round

  • 4 stats to guess
  • 1 opinion poll
  • 0 played today

Guess, see the crowd, get the real number. One ranked attempt per day.

Poll by the numbers

Real figures with their sources. All Poll facts →

71% (Trump was given 29%)

On the morning of the 2016 US election, FiveThirtyEight's model gave Hillary Clinton what probability of winning?

That was actually a higher chance for Trump than most other forecasters gave him, but he still won the Electoral College.

Source: Wikipedia: Nate Silver (2016) en.wikipedia.org

over 24 million people

As of 2024, pollster YouGov draws its samples from an online panel of about how many people worldwide?

A bigger panel lets pollsters find demographically matched respondents for many different surveys at once.

Source: Wikipedia: YouGov (2024) en.wikipedia.org

62.1%

What was the self-response rate to the 2020 US Census, down from 66.5% in 2010?

Even a mandatory, heavily-promoted government count struggles to get every household to respond on its own.

Source: Wikipedia: 2020 United States Census (2020) en.wikipedia.org

What people think about opinion polls, surveys and how reliable they are

Vote to see the live results. All polls →

How much do you trust opinion polls in general?

Be the first to vote

Have you ever been asked to take part in a phone or online poll?

Be the first to vote

What would make you more likely to trust a poll's results?

Be the first to vote

Leaderboard

  1. Loading…

Badges

Earned on any site in the network, shown on your profile everywhere.

First RoundFinish your first daily round.
BullseyeNail every stat in a round.
LightningA bullseye round in under 40 seconds.
Beat the CrowdGet a stat right that fewer than 30% of players got.
On a RollPlay 3 days in a row.
Week WarriorPlay 7 days in a row.
UnbreakablePlay 30 days in a row.
ExplorerPlay daily rounds on 5 different sites.
GlobetrotterPlay daily rounds on 25 different sites.
PolymathPlay daily rounds in 5 different categories.
PollsterHave your say in 10 opinion polls.
RecruiterInvite a friend who finishes a round.
CaptainInvite 5 friends who finish a round.
PodiumFinish a day in a site's top 3.
AnalystReach level 10.
Profile SavedSave your progress with an email.

Save your progress

Add your email to keep your level, streak and badges if you switch devices, and carry them to every site in the network. One email when you save; no spam.

Questions

How does PollAdvisor.com work?

Each question asks you to guess a real number about opinion polls, surveys and how reliable they are. After you answer you see how everyone else guessed, then the real figure and where it comes from.

How is the daily round scored?

Four stats and one opinion poll. A correct guess earns 100 points plus up to 50 for speed, with a combo bonus for answers in a row. The range next to the right answer earns 40. Opinion polls earn 25 for having your say, and nailing every stat adds 150.

Where do the numbers come from?

Every stat links to its source, such as government statistics agencies, research organizations and industry groups. Figures are checked against the source before they go live.

Is it free?

Yes. Playing, streaks, badges and leaderboards are free, and your votes stay anonymous.