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How much do you trust election polls?

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<script src="https://polladvisor.com/embed.js" data-poll="0" async></script>

iframe (if scripts aren't allowed)

<iframe src="https://polladvisor.com/embed?poll=0" title="How much do you trust election polls?" loading="lazy" style="border:0;width:100%;max-width:560px;height:360px"></iframe>

Newsletter (email-safe HTML)

<table role="presentation" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" border="0" style="width:100%;max-width:560px;border:1px solid #e4e7ec;border-radius:14px;border-collapse:separate"><tr><td style="padding:18px">
<p style="margin:0 0 6px;font:bold 12px Arial,sans-serif;letter-spacing:1px;text-transform:uppercase;color:#4338ca">Poll Accuracy poll</p>
<p style="margin:0 0 14px;font:bold 18px/1.35 Arial,sans-serif;color:#0e1116">How much do you trust election polls?</p>
<table role="presentation" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" border="0" style="width:100%"><tr><td style="padding:0 0 8px 0"><a href="https://polladvisor.com/vote?poll=0&amp;c=0&amp;utm_source=newsletter&amp;utm_medium=email_snippet" style="display:block;padding:12px 16px;border:1.5px solid #d3d8df;border-radius:10px;color:#0e1116;text-decoration:none;font:15px/1.4 Arial,sans-serif">A lot</a></td></tr><tr><td style="padding:0 0 8px 0"><a href="https://polladvisor.com/vote?poll=0&amp;c=1&amp;utm_source=newsletter&amp;utm_medium=email_snippet" style="display:block;padding:12px 16px;border:1.5px solid #d3d8df;border-radius:10px;color:#0e1116;text-decoration:none;font:15px/1.4 Arial,sans-serif">Some</a></td></tr><tr><td style="padding:0 0 8px 0"><a href="https://polladvisor.com/vote?poll=0&amp;c=2&amp;utm_source=newsletter&amp;utm_medium=email_snippet" style="display:block;padding:12px 16px;border:1.5px solid #d3d8df;border-radius:10px;color:#0e1116;text-decoration:none;font:15px/1.4 Arial,sans-serif">Not much</a></td></tr><tr><td style="padding:0 0 8px 0"><a href="https://polladvisor.com/vote?poll=0&amp;c=3&amp;utm_source=newsletter&amp;utm_medium=email_snippet" style="display:block;padding:12px 16px;border:1.5px solid #d3d8df;border-radius:10px;color:#0e1116;text-decoration:none;font:15px/1.4 Arial,sans-serif">Not at all</a></td></tr></table>
<p style="margin:8px 0 0;font:12px Arial,sans-serif;color:#6b7380">Tap an answer to vote and see the live results · Poll by <a href="https://polladvisor.com/?utm_source=newsletter&amp;utm_medium=email_snippet" style="color:#4338ca">PollAdvisor.com</a></p>
</td></tr></table>

Before trusting a poll, what do you check first?

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<script src="https://polladvisor.com/embed.js" data-poll="1" async></script>

iframe (if scripts aren't allowed)

<iframe src="https://polladvisor.com/embed?poll=1" title="Before trusting a poll, what do you check first?" loading="lazy" style="border:0;width:100%;max-width:560px;height:360px"></iframe>

Newsletter (email-safe HTML)

<table role="presentation" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" border="0" style="width:100%;max-width:560px;border:1px solid #e4e7ec;border-radius:14px;border-collapse:separate"><tr><td style="padding:18px">
<p style="margin:0 0 6px;font:bold 12px Arial,sans-serif;letter-spacing:1px;text-transform:uppercase;color:#4338ca">Poll Accuracy poll</p>
<p style="margin:0 0 14px;font:bold 18px/1.35 Arial,sans-serif;color:#0e1116">Before trusting a poll, what do you check first?</p>
<table role="presentation" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" border="0" style="width:100%"><tr><td style="padding:0 0 8px 0"><a href="https://polladvisor.com/vote?poll=1&amp;c=0&amp;utm_source=newsletter&amp;utm_medium=email_snippet" style="display:block;padding:12px 16px;border:1.5px solid #d3d8df;border-radius:10px;color:#0e1116;text-decoration:none;font:15px/1.4 Arial,sans-serif">Sample size</a></td></tr><tr><td style="padding:0 0 8px 0"><a href="https://polladvisor.com/vote?poll=1&amp;c=1&amp;utm_source=newsletter&amp;utm_medium=email_snippet" style="display:block;padding:12px 16px;border:1.5px solid #d3d8df;border-radius:10px;color:#0e1116;text-decoration:none;font:15px/1.4 Arial,sans-serif">Margin of error</a></td></tr><tr><td style="padding:0 0 8px 0"><a href="https://polladvisor.com/vote?poll=1&amp;c=2&amp;utm_source=newsletter&amp;utm_medium=email_snippet" style="display:block;padding:12px 16px;border:1.5px solid #d3d8df;border-radius:10px;color:#0e1116;text-decoration:none;font:15px/1.4 Arial,sans-serif">Who ran it</a></td></tr><tr><td style="padding:0 0 8px 0"><a href="https://polladvisor.com/vote?poll=1&amp;c=3&amp;utm_source=newsletter&amp;utm_medium=email_snippet" style="display:block;padding:12px 16px;border:1.5px solid #d3d8df;border-radius:10px;color:#0e1116;text-decoration:none;font:15px/1.4 Arial,sans-serif">How it was conducted</a></td></tr><tr><td style="padding:0 0 8px 0"><a href="https://polladvisor.com/vote?poll=1&amp;c=4&amp;utm_source=newsletter&amp;utm_medium=email_snippet" style="display:block;padding:12px 16px;border:1.5px solid #d3d8df;border-radius:10px;color:#0e1116;text-decoration:none;font:15px/1.4 Arial,sans-serif">I don&#39;t check</a></td></tr></table>
<p style="margin:8px 0 0;font:12px Arial,sans-serif;color:#6b7380">Tap an answer to vote and see the live results · Poll by <a href="https://polladvisor.com/?utm_source=newsletter&amp;utm_medium=email_snippet" style="color:#4338ca">PollAdvisor.com</a></p>
</td></tr></table>

Is a 2-point lead in a poll meaningful?

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<script src="https://polladvisor.com/embed.js" data-poll="2" async></script>

iframe (if scripts aren't allowed)

<iframe src="https://polladvisor.com/embed?poll=2" title="Is a 2-point lead in a poll meaningful?" loading="lazy" style="border:0;width:100%;max-width:560px;height:360px"></iframe>

Newsletter (email-safe HTML)

<table role="presentation" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" border="0" style="width:100%;max-width:560px;border:1px solid #e4e7ec;border-radius:14px;border-collapse:separate"><tr><td style="padding:18px">
<p style="margin:0 0 6px;font:bold 12px Arial,sans-serif;letter-spacing:1px;text-transform:uppercase;color:#4338ca">Poll Accuracy poll</p>
<p style="margin:0 0 14px;font:bold 18px/1.35 Arial,sans-serif;color:#0e1116">Is a 2-point lead in a poll meaningful?</p>
<table role="presentation" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" border="0" style="width:100%"><tr><td style="padding:0 0 8px 0"><a href="https://polladvisor.com/vote?poll=2&amp;c=0&amp;utm_source=newsletter&amp;utm_medium=email_snippet" style="display:block;padding:12px 16px;border:1.5px solid #d3d8df;border-radius:10px;color:#0e1116;text-decoration:none;font:15px/1.4 Arial,sans-serif">Yes</a></td></tr><tr><td style="padding:0 0 8px 0"><a href="https://polladvisor.com/vote?poll=2&amp;c=1&amp;utm_source=newsletter&amp;utm_medium=email_snippet" style="display:block;padding:12px 16px;border:1.5px solid #d3d8df;border-radius:10px;color:#0e1116;text-decoration:none;font:15px/1.4 Arial,sans-serif">Only in big samples</a></td></tr><tr><td style="padding:0 0 8px 0"><a href="https://polladvisor.com/vote?poll=2&amp;c=2&amp;utm_source=newsletter&amp;utm_medium=email_snippet" style="display:block;padding:12px 16px;border:1.5px solid #d3d8df;border-radius:10px;color:#0e1116;text-decoration:none;font:15px/1.4 Arial,sans-serif">No, it&#39;s within the noise</a></td></tr></table>
<p style="margin:8px 0 0;font:12px Arial,sans-serif;color:#6b7380">Tap an answer to vote and see the live results · Poll by <a href="https://polladvisor.com/?utm_source=newsletter&amp;utm_medium=email_snippet" style="color:#4338ca">PollAdvisor.com</a></p>
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Stat cards

A question your readers guess before they reveal the sourced answer.

If a poll's margin of error is ±3 points for each option, about how large is the margin for the gap between two options?

<script src="https://polladvisor.com/embed.js" data-fact="0" async></script>

A subgroup with about 160 respondents has roughly what margin of error for a single candidate?

<script src="https://polladvisor.com/embed.js" data-fact="1" async></script>

Of 590 national polls in 2012, about how many would be expected to fall outside their margin of error by chance alone?

<script src="https://polladvisor.com/embed.js" data-fact="2" async></script>

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